Weymouth 3-3 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
9%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 31% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.16/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.73
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +80%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
281 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.12.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-3 HT 2-2 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and Weston-super-Mare couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs Weston-super-Mare?

Weymouth 3-3 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 32%, draw 24%, Weston-super-Mare 44%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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