AFC Sudbury 1-0 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2024

AFC Sudbury
1-0 HT 1-0
Needham Market
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Sudbury v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 53%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.22/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.67
-9% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury nicked a narrow win over Needham Market 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Needham Market at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market?

AFC Sudbury 1-0 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated an Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 27%, draw 21%, Needham Market 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Needham Market), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Needham Market) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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