Hungerford Town 1-1 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
43%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-9.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +30%
3.15/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.87
+101% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +74%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hungerford Town and Merthyr Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Merthyr Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Merthyr Town?

Hungerford Town 1-1 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 32%, draw 25%, Merthyr Town 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merthyr Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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