Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.91
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.45
Over 2.5
51%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.81
No
54%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.9
6+ Goals
10%
42.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
65%
-16.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
35%
+16.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
32%
+14.6pp
54%
BTTS No
68%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 67%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
0.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.54
+3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Persepolis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
31.03.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
13.10.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.02.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 3-1 HT 2-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
19.11.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
25.06.2021 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
09.02.2021 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Persepolis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Persepolis carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 1.33 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 18%, draw 24%, Persepolis 57%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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