Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 1 Jan 2024

Shams Azar Qazvin
1-0 HT 1-0
Sepahan
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.85
6+ Goals
8%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shams Azar Qazvin v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 49%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.91
+31% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Sepahan 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sepahan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 27%, draw 29%, Sepahan 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sepahan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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