Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

Al Faisaly
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Najma
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Faisaly vs Al Najma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.76
No
39%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
53%
+8.4pp
39%
BTTS No
47%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Faisaly v Al Najma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.66/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.25
-5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma squeezed past Al Faisaly 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Faisaly at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Najma?

Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 46%, draw 28%, Al Najma 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Faisaly) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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