Al Kholood 2-1 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒15:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 18%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.70/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/3.37
-61% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-1
AWAY Al Safa
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Safa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 39% of the ball to Al Safa's 61%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Safa?

Al Kholood 2-1 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 55%, draw 21%, Al Safa 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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