Auckland 0-0 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Jan 2025

Auckland
0-0 HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory
📅01/01/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2024/2025

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
9%
6.31
X/X
12%
4.57
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
20%
4.35
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Auckland v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auckland EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 36%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.47
+26% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
423 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
– Crosses 17.8
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Auckland 0-0 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auckland
0-0
AWAY Melbourne Victory
0.55 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 7
300 Passes 327
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Auckland vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland and Melbourne Victory fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Auckland had 49% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 51%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.55 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland 0-0 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Auckland 37%, draw 25%, Melbourne Victory 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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