West Ham United 1-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2024

West Ham United
1-1 HT 0-1
Bournemouth
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

West Ham United vs Bournemouth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 27% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.34
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.29
X/2
13%
5.9
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
26.0
2/2
23%
3.9
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Bournemouth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.19
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
22.2 Crosses 22.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

West Ham United vs Bournemouth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bournemouth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.77 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
352 Passes 417
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
23.04.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-4 HT 0-3 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
24.10.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
01.01.2020 West Ham United West Ham United 4-0 HT 3-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
28.09.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-2 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
19.01.2019 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

West Ham United 1-1 Bournemouth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
1-1
AWAY Bournemouth
1.39 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
356 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Bournemouth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, West Ham United had 49% of the ball to Bournemouth's 51%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.39 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for West Ham United and 0.83 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Bournemouth?

West Ham United 1-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 34%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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