Wolverhampton 3-4 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2024

Wolverhampton
3-4 HT 0-2
Manchester United
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Wolverhampton vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.03
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.89
X/2
14%
5.16
X/X
10%
4.67
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
12%
3.34
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.40/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.3 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Wolverhampton vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.81
49% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
377 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
13.05.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
31.12.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
03.01.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
29.08.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
23.05.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-2 HT 1-2 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Wolverhampton 3-4 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
3-4
AWAY Manchester United
2.20 xG 3.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
446 Passes 386
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 38
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United nicked a narrow win over Wolverhampton 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Manchester United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 53% of the ball to Manchester United's 47%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 2.20 to 3.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.17 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Manchester United?

Wolverhampton 3-4 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 38%, draw 28%, Manchester United 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolverhampton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
1 Feb 2024
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