Mechelen 2-2 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2024

Mechelen
2-2 HT 0-1
Anderlecht
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Mechelen vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.43
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.28
X/2
15%
4.85
X/X
9%
4.7
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.09
2/X
6%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
2.19/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.25
+28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.9 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mechelen vs Anderlecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.00 xG 2.25
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
421 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
23.04.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-3 HT 1-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
09.10.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.01.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 0-1 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.09.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 7-2 HT 1-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
07.03.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL

Mechelen 2-2 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
2-2
AWAY Anderlecht
1.61 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 486
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen and Anderlecht couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mechelen had 40% of the ball to Anderlecht's 60%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.61 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mechelen and 2.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Mechelen 2-2 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 36%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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