St. Truidense 4-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 29% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.51
1/2
11%
25.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
17%
7.31
X/2
14%
4.36
X/X
13%
4.62
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
11%
2.67
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +14%
1.13/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.34
-44% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.4 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 486
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEK
20.08.2023 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
22.01.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
30.07.2022 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
18.12.2021 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
25.07.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense swept aside Gent 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day St. Truidense made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Truidense and 1.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Gent?

St. Truidense 4-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 37%, draw 27%, Gent 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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