Madureira 3-0 Boavista SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madureira EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Boavista SC EU Bookmakers 26%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.29/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.10
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madureira
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Boavista SC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 4
30.01.2023 Boavista SC Boavista SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Madureira Madureira BRC1
25.02.2022 Boavista SC Boavista SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Madureira Madureira BRC1
11.04.2021 Madureira Madureira 0-0 HT 0-0 Boavista SC Boavista SC BRC1
08.02.2015 Madureira Madureira 1-0 HT 1-0 Boavista SC Boavista SC BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madureira
3-0
AWAY Boavista SC
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 17
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Madureira vs Boavista SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madureira cruised past Boavista SC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Madureira as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Madureira had 48% of the ball to Boavista SC's 52%, shots finished 22-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Madureira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Madureira and 0.25 for Boavista SC.

What was the final score of Madureira vs Boavista SC?

Madureira 3-0 Boavista SC in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madureira vs Boavista SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madureira win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Madureira 48%, draw 28%, Boavista SC 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Madureira), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Madureira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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