Nova Iguaçu 2-0 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 1 Feb 2024

Nova Iguaçu
2-0 HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Carioca 1 – 2024

Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nova Iguaçu v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nova Iguaçu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.61/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.04
+17% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +131% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4

Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nova Iguaçu
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2023 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 0-2 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1
03.02.2022 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 3-2 HT 1-0 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu BRC1
14.03.2021 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu 2-2 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1
15.03.2015 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 5-1 HT 4-1 Nova Iguaçu Nova Iguaçu BRC1
POST-MATCH Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nova Iguaçu saw off Vasco da Gama 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Nova Iguaçu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nova Iguaçu and 3.00 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama?

Nova Iguaçu 2-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nova Iguaçu vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nova Iguaçu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nova Iguaçu 37%, draw 30%, Vasco da Gama 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nova Iguaçu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nova Iguaçu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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