Sao Luiz 1-0 Avenida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Gaucho 1, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
35%
4-5
18%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
28%
+16.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
47%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Luiz The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Avenida The Market 51%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+43% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Luiz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Avenida
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2023 Avenida Avenida 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Luiz Sao Luiz BRG1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Luiz
1-0
AWAY Avenida
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sao Luiz vs Avenida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Luiz nicked a narrow win over Avenida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sao Luiz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sao Luiz had 41% of the ball to Avenida's 59%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Sao Luiz vs Avenida?

Sao Luiz 1-0 Avenida in the Brazil - Gaucho 1 on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Luiz vs Avenida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Luiz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sao Luiz 44%, draw 22%, Avenida 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Luiz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sao Luiz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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