Santa Cruz de Natal RN 4-0 Potyguar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Potiguar, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Cruz de Natal RN EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Potyguar EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.59
+29% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Cruz de Natal RN
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Potyguar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.01.2024 Potyguar Potyguar 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz de Natal RN Santa Cruz de Natal RN BRPO
19.02.2022 Potyguar Potyguar 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz de Natal RN Santa Cruz de Natal RN BRPO
16.01.2022 Santa Cruz de Natal RN Santa Cruz de Natal RN 3-0 HT 2-0 Potyguar Potyguar BRPO
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Cruz de Natal RN
4-0
AWAY Potyguar
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Santa Cruz de Natal RN vs Potyguar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Cruz de Natal RN swept aside Potyguar 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Santa Cruz de Natal RN found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Santa Cruz de Natal RN had 55% of the ball to Potyguar's 45%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz de Natal RN had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santa Cruz de Natal RN and 0.67 for Potyguar.

What was the final score of Santa Cruz de Natal RN vs Potyguar?

Santa Cruz de Natal RN 4-0 Potyguar in the Brazil - Potiguar on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Cruz de Natal RN vs Potyguar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Cruz de Natal RN win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Santa Cruz de Natal RN 35%, draw 32%, Potyguar 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Cruz de Natal RN) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Cruz de Natal RN) ✗ Under 2.5
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