Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
2.03
Over
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.77
2-3
43%
1.82
4-5
20%
3.21
6+
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC The Market 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
1-0
AWAY Al Duhail SC
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua edged past Al Duhail SC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Duhail SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 48% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 52%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Al Duhail SC?

Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Al Duhail SC in the Friendlies on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 31%, draw 27%, Al Duhail SC 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Under 2.5
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