01/02/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Viktoria Plzen vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Over 2.5
BTTS Yes
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
44%
Home Win
54%
24%
Draw
22%
32%
Away Win
24%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
43%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Viktoria Plzen v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Viktoria Plzen
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
AGF Aarhus
The Market 27%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+64% /
+64%
2.28/0.78
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
+23%
/
+34%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
370 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Viktoria Plzen vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Viktoria Plzen and AGF Aarhus shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Plzen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs AGF Aarhus?
Viktoria Plzen 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Friendlies on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs AGF Aarhus?
Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 44%, draw 24%, AGF Aarhus 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
1 Feb 2024