CD Real Sociedad 2-1 Lobos UPNFM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Feb 2024

📅01/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.48/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.25
+1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
317 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Real Sociedad
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lobos UPNFM
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
01.10.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.08.2023 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
25.01.2023 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 1-1 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
02.10.2022 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad 0-2 HT 0-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
07.08.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 2-0 HT 2-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
13.03.2022 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Real Sociedad CD Real Sociedad HON
POST-MATCH CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Real Sociedad nicked a narrow win over Lobos UPNFM 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lobos UPNFM led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CD Real Sociedad and 1.33 for Lobos UPNFM.

What was the final score of CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

CD Real Sociedad 2-1 Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Real Sociedad vs Lobos UPNFM?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CD Real Sociedad 47%, draw 25%, Lobos UPNFM 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Real Sociedad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Real Sociedad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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