Olancho 1-1 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 1 Feb 2024

Olancho
1-1 HT 1-1
Real Espana
📅01/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Honduras - National League Apertura – 2025/2026

Olancho vs Real Espana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olancho v Real Espana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.39
-9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Olancho vs Real Espana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Espana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
21.09.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 3-1 HT 2-0 Olancho Olancho HON
14.05.2023 Olancho Olancho 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
11.05.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 0-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
30.04.2023 Olancho Olancho 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
26.02.2023 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and Real Espana couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 30% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olancho had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olancho and 0.83 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Olancho vs Real Espana?

Olancho 1-1 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Olancho 29%, draw 30%, Real Espana 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Espana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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