Pachuca vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Atlas — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Pachuca
MEK
4-1
HT 3-0
Pachuca
MEK
3-1
HT 0-0
Atlas
MEK
2-1
HT 2-1
Atlas
MEK
2-0
HT 1-0
Pachuca
MEK
0-1
HT 0-0
Pachuca
MEK
Pachuca 4-3 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca squeezed past Atlas 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Pachuca had 48% of the ball to Atlas's 52%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.10 to 1.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.33 for Atlas.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Atlas?
Pachuca 4-3 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 01/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Atlas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 49%, draw 26%, Atlas 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.