Utebo 4-2 Subiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Feb 2025

Utebo
4-2 HT 2-1
Subiza
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Subiza EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
+19% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Subiza
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Subiza 0-2 HT 0-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
4-2
AWAY Subiza
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Subiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo beat Subiza 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utebo had 56% of the ball to Subiza's 44%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Subiza?

Utebo 4-2 Subiza in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Subiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Utebo 52%, draw 28%, Subiza 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Over 2.5
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