Subiza 0-2 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2024

Subiza
0-2 HT 0-1
Utebo
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
31%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
27%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
37%
Draw
28%
+9.0pp
31%
Away Win
45%
-14.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Subiza EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 49%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.87
-100% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
241 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Subiza
0-2
AWAY Utebo
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Subiza vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo got the better of Subiza 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 37% / 31% — and on the day Utebo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Subiza had 53% of the ball to Utebo's 47%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of Subiza vs Utebo?

Subiza 0-2 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Subiza vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Subiza 32%, draw 37%, Utebo 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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