Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Izarra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Izarra EU Bookmakers 22%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.39/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.45
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Izarra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2024 Izarra Izarra 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
22.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 3-1 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
16.08.2023 Izarra Izarra 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II HAZ
19.03.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 2-0 HT 0-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
30.10.2022 Izarra Izarra 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
02.05.2021 Izarra Izarra 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-1
AWAY Izarra
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II and Izarra shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 57% of the ball to Izarra's 43%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.33 for Izarra.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Izarra?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Izarra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 51%, draw 26%, Izarra 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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