Bergantinos 1-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2024

Bergantinos
1-1 HT 1-0
Numancia
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Bergantinos vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bergantinos v Numancia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.61/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+53% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos and Numancia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Numancia?

Bergantinos 1-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 29%, draw 28%, Numancia 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Numancia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ BTTS Yes
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