Real Sociedad III 0-1 Eibar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad III EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar II EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad III
0-1
AWAY Eibar II
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad III vs Eibar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar II edged past Real Sociedad III 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Eibar II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Real Sociedad III had 47% of the ball to Eibar II's 53%, shots finished 4-12.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad III vs Eibar II?

Real Sociedad III 0-1 Eibar II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad III vs Eibar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad III win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad III 37%, draw 26%, Eibar II 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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