Real Valladolid II 1-1 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.48
Over 2.5
48%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.8pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 30%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.24
+17% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.10.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 0-2 HT 0-2 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
16.04.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
03.12.2022 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 4-1 HT 2-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.02.2021 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
25.11.2020 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-1
AWAY Marino De Luanco
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II and Marino De Luanco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Valladolid II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 50% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.50 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Marino De Luanco?

Real Valladolid II 1-1 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 43%, draw 26%, Marino De Luanco 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Valladolid II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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