Izarra 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Izarra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.40/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.43
-58% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +110%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
198 · 59% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 187 · 60%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Izarra
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 3-1 HT 1-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
16.08.2023 Izarra Izarra 0-2 HT 0-2 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II HAZ
19.03.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 2-0 HT 0-0 Izarra Izarra İS4
30.10.2022 Izarra Izarra 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
02.05.2021 Izarra Izarra 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
08.02.2020 Izarra Izarra 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Izarra
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Izarra vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Izarra squeezed past Deportivo Alaves II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Izarra had 48% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 52%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Izarra and 1.33 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Izarra vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Izarra 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Izarra vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Izarra 27%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves II 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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