UD Alzira 2-2 Andratx — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Andratx EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.23/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Andratx
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Andratx Andratx 1-0 HT 1-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Alzira
2-2
AWAY Andratx
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Andratx
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira and Andratx shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was UD Alzira at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UD Alzira had 50% of the ball to Andratx's 50%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Andratx?

UD Alzira 2-2 Andratx in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Andratx?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Alzira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 46%, draw 24%, Andratx 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Alzira) ✗ Under 2.5
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