Cacereno 2-0 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.19/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.58
-25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
2W-0D-0L
AWAY UD San Fernando
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
22.10.2023 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando 2-3 HT 1-2 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
06.03.2022 Cacereno Cacereno 3-2 HT 2-2 UD San Fernando UD San Fernando İS4
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno saw off UD San Fernando 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cacereno as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cacereno had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cacereno and 2.00 for UD San Fernando.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs UD San Fernando?

Cacereno 2-0 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 44%, draw 32%, UD San Fernando 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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