Covadonga 1-1 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Covadonga EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.23/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.05
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Covadonga
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-1 HT 1-0 Covadonga Covadonga İS4
30.01.2021 Covadonga Covadonga 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS3
14.11.2020 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Covadonga Covadonga İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Covadonga
1-1
AWAY Real Valladolid II
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Covadonga vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Covadonga and Real Valladolid II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Covadonga had 50% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 50%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Covadonga and 3.00 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Covadonga vs Real Valladolid II?

Covadonga 1-1 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Covadonga vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Covadonga win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Covadonga 36%, draw 29%, Real Valladolid II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Covadonga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Covadonga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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