Pena Deportiva vs Formentera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pena Deportiva v Formentera — Team-Based Signals
Pena Deportiva vs Formentera Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Pena Deportiva
İS4
0-1
HT 0-0
Pena Deportiva
İS4
0-0
HT 0-0
Formentera
İS4
3-0
HT 2-0
Pena Deportiva
İS4
0-3
HT 0-0
Formentera
İS4
Pena Deportiva 0-1 Formentera — Actual Match Statistics
Formentera edged past Pena Deportiva 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pena Deportiva at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Pena Deportiva had 57% of the ball to Formentera's 43%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Pena Deportiva and 1.40 for Formentera.
What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Formentera?
Pena Deportiva 0-1 Formentera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Formentera?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 44%, draw 28%, Formentera 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pena Deportiva) went the other way.