Numancia 1-0 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.80/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.90
+15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 190 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Villanovense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 Villanovense Villanovense 1-2 HT 1-2 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-0
AWAY Villanovense
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Villanovense 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Numancia had 53% of the ball to Villanovense's 47%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Villanovense?

Numancia 1-0 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Numancia 49%, draw 25%, Villanovense 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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