Milan U20 3-1 Bologna U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.51
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bologna U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.10.2024 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 3-1 HT 2-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
3-1
AWAY Bologna U20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Bologna U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 got the better of Bologna U20 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Milan U20 had 46% of the ball to Bologna U20's 54%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Bologna U20?

Milan U20 3-1 Bologna U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Bologna U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 54%, draw 25%, Bologna U20 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U20), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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