Bologna U20 3-1 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
+11.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna U20
3-1
AWAY Milan U20
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bologna U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna U20 beat Milan U20 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bologna U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bologna U20 had 48% of the ball to Milan U20's 52%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Bologna U20 vs Milan U20?

Bologna U20 3-1 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bologna U20 37%, draw 25%, Milan U20 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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