Genoa U20 2-3 Sassuolo U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.4pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+92% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +62%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa U20
2-3
AWAY Sassuolo U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Genoa U20 vs Sassuolo U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo U20 squeezed past Genoa U20 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genoa U20 had 51% of the ball to Sassuolo U20's 49%, shots finished 14-15.

What was the final score of Genoa U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Genoa U20 2-3 Sassuolo U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa U20 vs Sassuolo U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Genoa U20 47%, draw 25%, Sassuolo U20 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
6 Oct 2024
11:45 Juventus U20 vs Fiorentina U20 Analysis →
14:00 Bologna U20 vs Milan U20 Analysis →
16:00 Monza U20 vs Atalanta U20 Analysis →