Sassuolo (K) 2-3 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.83/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.64
+4% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.9
11.0 Crosses 22.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 0.88
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 292
63% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
10.02.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
18.01.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-3
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.72 xG 2.72
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 28
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 5
167 Passes 423
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 33
5 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) edged past Sassuolo (K) 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 34% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 66%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 0.72 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AC Milan (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 1.33 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-3 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 27%, draw 28%, AC Milan (K) 45%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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