Roma (K) 4-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.11
Draw
28%
8.11
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.75
No
51%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
31%
X/2
3%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-22.5pp
28%
Draw
9%
+18.9pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
32%
+17.1pp
51%
BTTS No
68%
-17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.13/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.24
+1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
38.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
26.1 Crosses 9.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.04 xG 0.35
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
548 Passes 148
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
42 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-5 HT 0-3 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
27.01.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
4-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
1.62 xG 0.04
73% Ball Possession 27%
29 Total Shots 2
14 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
498 Passes 141
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
62 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) ran out comfortable winners over Sampdoria (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Roma (K) had 73% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 27%, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 1.62 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Roma (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Roma (K) and 0.50 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Roma (K) 4-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 62%, draw 28%, Sampdoria (K) 10%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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