AS Eupen 3-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 36%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
2.36/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-5% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.0 Crosses 14.6
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lommel United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.72 xG 2.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 6
325 Passes 482
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 5
19.10.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
3-2
AWAY Lommel United
2.12 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
342 Passes 313
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen nicked a narrow win over Lommel United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day AS Eupen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, AS Eupen had 52% of the ball to Lommel United's 48%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.12 to 1.19.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Lommel United?

AS Eupen 3-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 39%, draw 24%, Lommel United 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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