Larne FC 1-1 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
35%
3.45
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-15.8pp
35%
Draw
26%
+9.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.8pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.79/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.80
+1% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Portadown FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
29.01.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.11.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC and Portadown FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Larne FC and 0.67 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Larne FC 1-1 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 41%, draw 35%, Portadown FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Larne FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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