Gzira United 2-2 Melita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-14.7pp
31%
Draw
22%
+8.3pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Melita EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-66% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Melita
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 0-2 HT 0-1 Melita MLTP
14.09.2024 Melita 2-3 HT 1-1 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
2-2
AWAY Melita
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Melita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United and Melita couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gzira United had 60% of the ball to Melita's 40%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gzira United and 2.00 for Melita.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Melita?

Gzira United 2-2 Melita in the MALTP on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Melita?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 46%, draw 31%, Melita 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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