Novi Pazar 2-3 Tekstilac Odzaci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
67%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 15%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.48/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.46
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
22.2 Crosses 11.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.99 xG 1.90
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 183
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Tekstilac Odzaci 2-1 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-3
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci
2.07 xG 1.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
304 Passes 197
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Tekstilac Odzaci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tekstilac Odzaci edged past Novi Pazar 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Novi Pazar carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 58% of the ball to Tekstilac Odzaci's 42%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.07 to 1.60 — on chances, Novi Pazar could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Novi Pazar 2-3 Tekstilac Odzaci in the Serbia - Super League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 62%, draw 20%, Tekstilac Odzaci 18%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Novi Pazar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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