Tekstilac Odzaci 2-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci
2-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.90 xG 0.99
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
183 Passes 407
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tekstilac Odzaci vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tekstilac Odzaci nicked a narrow win over Novi Pazar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Novi Pazar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tekstilac Odzaci had 35% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 65%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.90 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Tekstilac Odzaci vs Novi Pazar?

Tekstilac Odzaci 2-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tekstilac Odzaci vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tekstilac Odzaci 31%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Novi Pazar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
24 Aug 2024
20:00 Radnicki Nis vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →
22:00 Jedinstvo Ub vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →