Jedinstvo Ub 2-3 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 43%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.42/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.86
-100% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
14.0 Crosses 12.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jedinstvo Ub
2-3
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
0.54 xG 1.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
167 Passes 414
67% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jedinstvo Ub vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Jedinstvo Ub 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; IMT Novi Beograd found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jedinstvo Ub had 35% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 65%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.54 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold IMT Novi Beograd's control.

What was the final score of Jedinstvo Ub vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Jedinstvo Ub 2-3 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jedinstvo Ub vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jedinstvo Ub win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jedinstvo Ub 36%, draw 30%, IMT Novi Beograd 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jedinstvo Ub) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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