Nong Bua Pitchaya vs BG Pathum United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nong Bua Pitchaya v BG Pathum United — Team-Based Signals
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs BG Pathum United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
BG Pathum United
TAY
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 BG Pathum United — Actual Match Statistics
Nong Bua Pitchaya and BG Pathum United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
On the day, Nong Bua Pitchaya had 44% of the ball to BG Pathum United's 56%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.87 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nong Bua Pitchaya had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Nong Bua Pitchaya and 0.80 for BG Pathum United.
What was the final score of Nong Bua Pitchaya vs BG Pathum United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya 1-1 BG Pathum United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs BG Pathum United?
Before kick-off our model rated an BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Nong Bua Pitchaya 29%, draw 25%, BG Pathum United 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BG Pathum United), Over 2.5 went the other way.