BG Pathum United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Nong Bua Pitchaya — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-0
Nong Bua Pitchaya
TAY
BG Pathum United
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United and Nong Bua Pitchaya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was BG Pathum United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 61% of the ball to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 39%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 1.42 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nong Bua Pitchaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for BG Pathum United and 2.00 for Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
BG Pathum United 1-1 Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 53%, draw 24%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BG Pathum United), BTTS No went the other way.