Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Bangkok United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangkok United EU Bookmakers 69%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.90/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.81
-37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +69%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.2 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Bangkok United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
0.76 xG 1.52
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 333
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2023 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-4 HT 0-0 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
03.09.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 3-0 HT 1-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
19.02.2022 Bangkok United Bangkok United 2-2 HT 2-0 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima TAY
09.10.2021 Nakhon Ratchasima Nakhon Ratchasima 0-2 HT 0-1 Bangkok United Bangkok United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Ratchasima
1-1
AWAY Bangkok United
0.17 xG 1.03
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
167 Passes 457
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Ratchasima and Bangkok United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Bangkok United carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nakhon Ratchasima had 31% of the ball to Bangkok United's 69%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.17 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bangkok United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nakhon Ratchasima and 2.75 for Bangkok United.

What was the final score of Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United?

Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1 Bangkok United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Ratchasima vs Bangkok United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangkok United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Ratchasima 22%, draw 23%, Bangkok United 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangkok United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangkok United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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