Basel 1-2 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Feb 2026

Basel
1-2 HT 0-1
Thun
📅01/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Basel vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
15%
5.8
X/2
11%
6.37
X/X
6%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
2/2
18%
3.88
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.69/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.30
-7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
20.2 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Basel vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Thun
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.02 xG 1.42
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 358
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Thun Thun 1-3 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
31.07.2020 Thun Thun 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
15.02.2020 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
19.10.2019 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
03.08.2019 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
22.05.2019 Thun Thun 1-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV

Basel 1-2 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-2
AWAY Thun
2.00 xG 0.76
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 231
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Basel vs Thun
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Thun edged past Basel 2-1 away from home in the Switzerland - Super League on 1 Feb 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Basel had 55% of the ball to Thun's 45%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.00 to 0.76.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Thun.

What was the final score of Basel vs Thun?

Basel 1-2 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Basel 43%, draw 23%, Thun 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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