Thun 1-3 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

Thun
1-3 HT 0-2
Basel
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Thun vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.31
2-3 Goals
36%
2.0
4-5 Goals
30%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.7
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
7%
7.17
X/2
11%
5.23
X/X
10%
5.86
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
22%
2.73
2/X
10%
12.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.7 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-2.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Basel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.67/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
+18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
22.2 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Thun vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Basel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
377 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.07.2020 Thun Thun 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
15.02.2020 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
19.10.2019 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
03.08.2019 Thun Thun 2-3 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
22.05.2019 Thun Thun 1-2 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
19.05.2019 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSVK

Thun 1-3 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-3
AWAY Basel
2.11 xG 3.11
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 363
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Thun vs Basel
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Basel beat Thun 3-1 away from home in the Switzerland - Super League on 13 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-2.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 60% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, Thun had 44% of the ball to Basel's 56%, shots finished 21-19, expected goals 2.11 to 3.11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thun and 1.67 for Basel.

What was the final score of Thun vs Basel?

Thun 1-3 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Thun 31%, draw 27%, Basel 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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