Araz Nahçıvan 0-4 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.79/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.06
-31% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
19.10.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-2 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
29.03.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.01.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
01.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK swept aside Araz Nahçıvan 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Neftçi PFK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Neftçi PFK?

Araz Nahçıvan 0-4 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 33%, draw 29%, Neftçi PFK 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
1 Feb 2026
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